College basketball best bets today
Win or lose, the UConn Huskies have put together the most dominant NCAA Tournament run in recent memory. They’ve won 11 straight games by an...
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This has been Vermont’s conference for many years, and it figures to stay that way. The addition of NJIT adds depth, as the difference between the top and bottom halves of the conference has been one of the biggest in college basketball. Vermont has used its defense to dominate the America East, and many conference members are trying to fight back by increasing their tempo and versatility.
In doing my own oddsmaking, I find that one of the most important factors in analyzing college basketball teams’ strengths is determining how much home-court advantage to assign. Two ways to do this are with a standard assignment or with a team-specific home-court edge. I prefer the latter, as I believe specific performance trends warrant treating each team individually from a theoretical and numerical standpoint.
With college basketball conference action set to begin for several leagues and already underway for others, let’s review some handicapping fundamentals.
If you listen to analytics-minded basketball handicappers, you’ll often hear the term “efficiency” being bandied about. If you’re not using offensive and defensive efficiency in your own handicapping process, you’re really behind the curve. The modern betting marketplace is driven by analytics. Efficiency is what makes the motor run in basketball.