The 2026 edition of Wimbledon is officially underway at the All England Club in London. We’ve broken down the day’s best tennis betting picks, digging into matchup tactics, surface tendencies, and current form to find the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, game spread, set spread, or total, our 2026 Wimbledon best bets are designed to help you profit. I’m dropping some of my favorite plays for Tuesday, July 7 below, but make sure you also monitor the picks page. I usually have a few more picks over there, plus I occasionally add plays based on the way lines are moving. That’s also where Gill Alexander posts his bets.
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Jannik Sinner
Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova
With Novak Djokovic and Jessica Pegula being two of my bigger pre-tournament futures, there isn’t much of a reason for me to get involved in their Tuesday matches. Of course, hedging with Felix Auger-Aliassime to beat Djokovic is an option. However, that’s not something I’m interested in doing. My quick handicap for that match is that Djokovic’s edge in return, along with his massive advantage in backhand-to-backhand exchanges, should make the difference. With the other match, I’m just not looking to add anything with Pegula, who would be my pick to win because of her overall reliability as a server and point-finisher.
Considering I’m somewhat tied up with two of the four matches, I’m somewhat limited in what I can do. On top of that, I don’t have the strongest of opinions on either match. So, instead of going with a side for either, I’m putting in an alternate spread parlay.
For Struff-Sinner, the regular game spread seems massive, but I’ll give myself a little extra cushion. A 9.5-game spread with Struff feels like it should be plenty with his ability to bomb serves. Sinner is obviously a much better player than Struff, but the Italian’s baseline game hasn’t been there at the All England Club. He’s looking like something of a servebot himself, making it hard to imagine him completely hitting Struff off the court.
The other match is a little harder to call. I know I shouldn’t put too much weight in a pre-Wimbledon grass-court match, but Muchova was demolishing Osaka in the Bad Homburg final on June 27. Muchova had a 6-1, 1-0 lead in that one, then Osaka ended up retiring. You can surely make an argument that Osaka was holding everything back in order to stay fresh for this major, but I don’t think players go into finals with plans of bailing. If Osaka was playing better, I feel she would have finished that match. Muchova was just dealing her a death by a thousand paper cuts, as her variety was infuriating Osaka. Well, all of that stuff will be available to her in this match. Her slice, her net play, everything. Ultimately, I see that being enough for Muchova to win a set. And she’s my pick to win, if you’re desperate for a side.
PARLAY: Struff Alt +9.5 Games & Muchova +1.5 Sets (-124)
MORE: I usually have more picks for VSiN Pro subscribers. You can check them out here!
