EPL Soccer – Wolves vs. Newcastle
Week 4 of the English Premier League concludes on Sunday, September 15. After a two-week break for international soccer, the Premier League is back with an exciting set of fixtures. Tread with a little caution as Matchday 4 not only comes after the EPL players have been all over the globe representing their countries but just before the first midweek round of Champions League fixtures.
How to Watch Wolves vs. Newcastle
Where: USA
When: Sunday 11:30 a.m. ET
Wolves vs. Newcastle Odds
Total: 3.5 (+114/-134)
I worry for Wolves this season. They are weaker than at any point in recent years. They’ve had a tough start with fixtures against Arsenal and Chelsea, but they at least picked up their first point with a 1-1 tie at Nottingham Forest.
The wait for a first win may go on with Newcastle, the visitors to Molineux this Sunday. However, I am not suggesting we back an away win either. I can’t trust Eddie Howe’s men on the road, as their inability to consistently convert chances into goals on their travels has become a recurring issue.
The Toon have visited Bournemouth in the league and Nottingham Forest in the cup, with both matches ending in a tie. They continue to misfire in attack and while that persists, they will drop points.
Nick Pope is an excellent goalkeeper, and Newcastle’s improved defensive performance since his return from injury is noteworthy. A solid defense can be the foundation for securing points away from home, even when the attack isn’t firing on all cylinders. This defensive stability will help Newcastle avoid defeat, even if they struggle to find the winning goal.
I was intrigued by the historical results of this fixture. Five of the last six meetings at Molineux have ended in draws, a striking statistic. The broader trend of seven draws in the last 11 meetings across all venues emphasizes the evenly matched nature of these two sides despite Newcastle’s general strength, particularly at home.
Given these factors, the +275 odds for a draw do seem generous. This pricing suggests that the traders might be focusing too heavily on the perceived quality gap between the two sides rather than the specific dynamics of this fixture. It is a price I can’t ignore.
EPL Best Bet: Wolves vs Newcastle – Match result to be a tie at +275.
