🏈 The Biggest Sports Week of the Year Is Here
All four major pro leagues are in action, college football is rolling, and college basketball is almost here.
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🏈 Sometimes the Best Bet Is No Bet
It may seem counterintuitive for a sports betting newsletter to lead with a game you shouldn’t bet on.
But Matt Youmans makes a compelling case for staying on the sidelines for Ole Miss–Texas (7:30 p.m. ET, ABC).
“The most intriguing game on Saturday’s betting board is Mississippi-Texas, and my thoughts about it are all over the board. If you have watched these teams all season, you should like the Rebels +3.5. If you have been betting games for several years and know how this nonsense usually works, your instincts are pulling you to the Texas side of the argument.”
Matt is 26-11-5 in his Best Bets columns this season. To put together that kind of record, I suppose you also need to know when to pass.
Late Friday, Texas moved from -3.5 to -3 at Circa. I asked Matt if that changed his opinion.
“Not really. It’s a fascinating game for bettors. I know very sharp guys on opposite sides.”
Without further ado, here are Matt’s Week 8 Best Bets — minus an Ole Miss–Texas pick.
🏈 More College Football Best Bets
Wes Reynolds — 9 plays
Steve Makinen — 14 plays
Adam Burke — 3 plays
Zachary Cohen — 3 plays
Dave Tuley — 3 plays
Brad Taylor, co-host of Live Bet Saturday (3–6 p.m. ET), also posted six picks on the VSiN Community page.
🏆 Five Handicappers Agree on Houston
Houston visits Utah tonight (10:15 p.m. ET), and there’s a striking consensus among the Circa Friday Football Invitational handicappers.
Five contestants selected Houston +6.5: Paul Stone, Alex White, Chris Macero, Robert Brubeck and Mike Montesano, who made it his Best Bet.
Kenny White went a different direction, selecting Over 56.5.
>> See all 175 Invitational picks from 25 handicappers
🧰 Build Your Own CFB Card
📈 Makinen’s Week 8 Analytics Report »
📊 Circa and DraftKings Betting Splits »
🎯 Every Week 8 Pick From VSiN Hosts & Guests »
⚡ Complete CFB Week 8 Betting Hub »
Prefer to watch? See our YouTube compilation of college football Best Bets from VSiN hosts and guests.
🏈 NFL Week 7
The Latest From the Circa Sportsbook
The Rams opened as 6-point favorites over the Raiders. By Friday afternoon, that number had been cut in half.
That’s one of several significant NFL line moves Circa owner Derek Stevens discussed with Matt Youmans on Friday’s Circa Friday Football Invitational.
Derek reported heavy Raiders money Friday, pushing the Rams from -4 to -3.5 and eventually -3. Injuries to key Rams players also contributed to the movement.
A few other developments from the Circa sportsbook:
- Packers at Lions: Detroit moved from -3 to -3.5 following Green Bay’s injury reports.
- Chiefs at Seahawks: Seattle moved from -2.5 to -3, with heavy Over action pushing the total to 48.5.
- Bengals at Ravens: Baltimore opened -3, but the favorite flipped during the week before the line settled at pick’em.
- 49ers at Falcons: San Francisco opened -4, dropped to -2.5, then attracted some Friday money.
And what about Circa Survivor? Derek sees a scenario in which the Jets could be a surprisingly popular selection against Miami. But would he trust New York with a $25 million contest entry still alive?
>> Listen to Derek and Matt break down the latest line moves and Survivor implications
🎯 NFL Week 7 Best Bets
Zach Cohen — 3 picks
Dave Tuley — Takes on every game
Adam Burke — First touchdown scorer picks
Adam Burke — Player props
Steve Makinen — 9 plays
Coming later this morning: New NFL picks from Matt Youmans and Wes Reynolds.
DonBest NBA Rotation Book — just $4.99. Keep the NBA schedule, matchups and betting information close at hand as Steve’s scheduling opportunities begin to appear.
🎥 Five Props for National Tight End Day
John Hansen is celebrating National Tight End Day with five tight end props among his 18 recommendations for the weekend.
>> Watch John’s player prop breakdown on YouTube
🧰 NFL Betting Tools
BOLT picks will be posted after 2 p.m. PT today.
🤖 Opta AI NFL Player Prop Projections »
🏈 Sunday’s Matchups & Advanced Stats »
🎯 Every NFL Week 7 Pick From VSiN Hosts & Guests »
⚡ Complete NFL Week 7 Betting Hub »
⚾ Brewers Fans Take Over Circa
As you might expect from fans of a team that hadn’t reached the World Series since 1982, Brewers fans were out in force at the Circa Sportsbook on Friday night.
And they had plenty to celebrate as Milwaukee beat Tampa Bay 3-2 in Game 1.
Game 2 is Saturday night (8 p.m. ET), with Milwaukee’s Logan Henderson facing Tampa Bay’s Drew Rasmussen.
The Brewers are -122 favorites on the moneyline, with the Rays at +110.
Adam Burke’s Game 2 betting analysis will be posted later this morning.
>> Get Adam’s World Series Game 2 preview and picks
⚡ Quick Hits
NBA: Zach Cohen’s latest NBA coverage »
🏒 NHL picks and analysis from Jonathan Davis »
Doc’s Sports Platinum Club Plays (PCP) is 46-25, 65% (+46.65 units) this CFB/NFL season on sides and totals, including three CFB/NFL top-play sweeps in the last four weeks.
As a VSiN fan, you can get 90% off a three-day PCP package with promo code 90PCPWINS90 at checkout.
PCP is 19-6, +$4,035 in all sports over the last 15 days (through October 22).
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