SNF Giants vs. Bills Week 6 odds and predictions
Every week, VSiN will be doing an in-depth dive on the week’s Sunday Night Football game. In Week 6, that game features the Buffalo Bills hosting the New York Giants at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. This is obviously a big mismatch on paper, but you never know what will happen in primetime. With that out of the way, keep reading for our Giants vs. Bills preview, picks and player props.
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How To Watch Giants vs. Bills
Date: Sunday, October 15
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Channel: NBC
Giants vs. Bills Spread
A lot of people have been calling for Daniel Jones to lose his job as the starting quarterback of the Giants. Well, Jones hasn’t been benched by New York, but Tyrod Taylor will be starting this game for the Giants. Jones is dealing with a neck injury that didn’t allow him to practice throughout the week. But the reality is that the Giants are in bad shape and it doesn’t matter who is under center. New York remains banged up along the offensive line, and that is going to make it hard for the team to figure things out offensively. When you combine that with the fact that the Giants are 28th in the league in Defensive DVOA, it’s hard to find reasons to be optimistic about their chances against the Bills.
Buffalo is currently fourth in the league in Defensive DVOA, so the team should have no trouble stopping a New York offense that is all out of sorts. Meanwhile, the Bills are third in the league in EPA per play on offense, with Josh Allen once again quarterbacking an elite offense. So, there shouldn’t be much hope that the Giants defense will have an easy time getting off the field here.
The only thing really working against the Bills is that they played in London in Week 5, but I don’t think the opponent here is strong enough for that to matter — especially with this being a home game. Buffalo is 2-0 both straight-up and against the spread at home this season, with both wins coming by 28 points. The Bills are also 14-5 ATS when coming off a game in which they gave up 400 or more total yards under head coach Sean McDermott. A great defensive mind, McDermott will look at the film and have his defense ready to respond, as he always does. That said, I think we’re looking at a primetime blowout in Orchard Park.
Giants vs. Bills Total
It’s scary taking an Under in a game with the Bills, who have scored at least 37 points in three of their five games this season. And I do think Buffalo has the potential to have a lot of success offensively in this game. But it’s hard for games to go Over the total when one team isn’t holding up its end of the bargain. And I think the Giants are going to really struggle to score in this one.
New York has gone Under the total in four of its five games this year, and the fact that the Giants averaged 7.8 points per game in those four Unders certainly helped. This offense has just been downright disastrous all season long, and the group remains in disarray — and key players are banged up. With that in mind, how can you expect the Giants to bounce back, especially playing on the road against a good defense?
The Under also happens to be 1-3 when the Giants have been underdogs of 10 or more points since Brian Daboll became the team’s head coach.
Giants vs. Bills Player Props
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James Cook Longest Rush Over 15.5 Yards
Cook couldn’t get himself going against the Jaguars last week, rushing for -4 yards on five attempts. It was the second week in a row in which the second year back struggled, but this is the ultimate get-right spot for Cook. The Giants have the 29th-ranked rushing defense in the league according to DVOA. And they have given up a rush of at least 16 yards to the opposing team’s lead back in four of the five games they have played this season. Their meeting with the San Francisco 49ers was the only game in which they didn’t, but San Francisco backup Elijah Mitchell had a run of 18 yards in that one. So, this team has proven that it is prone to giving up big gains on the ground. That makes it hard not to like this bet.
Giants vs. Bills Prediction
I’d be lying if I said that this is a game I’m personally eager to bet. But if I had to take something, I’d play the Under. I don’t think the Giants are going to have much success moving the football in this one, which would mean that the Bills would have to hang a huge number for the Over to hit. Buffalo is certainly capable of doing that damage on the scoreboard, but the team could be happy to just run the ball and eat at the clock.
Lean: Under 44.5
Head to our Pro Picks page to see how VSiN analysts are betting Giants vs. Bills!
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