The Monday Night Football matchup in Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season features the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Arrowhead Stadium. We’ll be diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 9 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

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How To Watch Buccaneers vs. Chiefs

When: Monday, November 4th at 8:15 pm ET

Where: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri

Channel: ABC/ESPN/ESPN+

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday, November 1st. Look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Chiefs -485, Buccaneers +370

Spread: Chiefs -9 (-112), Buccaneers +9 (-108)

Total: Over 45.5 (-112), Under 45.5 (-108)

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Analysis

This is going to be a tough game for the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is down two great receivers, as Chris Godwin is out for the year and Mike Evans is out another couple of weeks. Without those two, Baker Mayfield doesn’t have a lot of great options. That didn’t stop him from throwing for 330 yards with three touchdowns against the Falcons last week. But he did throw two picks in that game, and Tampa Bay ended up losing by five. Also, this Chiefs defense is a lot better than the one Mayfield faced last week. Kansas City is ninth in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (-0.067). Atlanta is just 23rd in the NFL in that regard (0.044). And Mayfield will also be leading his offense into Arrowhead Stadium, where it is very difficult to win as a visitor.

The Buccaneers also happen to be pretty lousy defensively. I have mentioned this in previous game previews, but Tampa Bay is just 24th in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.059). That’s pretty bad for a team with a defensive-minded head coach. And overall, it’s a little hard to believe in the Buccaneers slowing down Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense. Tampa Bay has allowed at least 27 points in four consecutive games. And while the Chiefs aren’t a high-scoring team, they move the ball down the field at their own pace and chew the clock. They’re going to be able to do that here, so look for them to put points on the board while tiring out the opposing defense.

Overall, I’m pretty confident that the Chiefs will win this game, but laying the points is another story. This is a big spread and Mayfield is a quarterback that loves a good backdoor cover. Having said that, I’d lay off the sides in this game. But I do think the Under is worth a look. While the Buccaneers have been involved in some shootouts lately, they’re going to have a much harder time moving the ball against the Chiefs. Kansas City’s rushing defense is absolutely incredible, and the team is good enough in the secondary to handle obvious passing situations. Meanwhile, the Chiefs offense isn’t going to want to get involved in a high-scoring game. They’re going to run the ball early and often, and they’ll rely on Mahomes’ arm only when they really need to. The Under is also 65-40 in home games with Andy Reid on the Chiefs sideline.

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Player Props

Baker Mayfield To Throw An Interception (-145)

This is definitely a little juicier than I would have hoped, but Mayfield has thrown seven interceptions over the last three games and nine on the year. While he has been awesome for most of the season, he has definitely been a little careless with the football. Well, he’s going to be blitzed a lot by a Steve Spagnuolo’s defense, and that should mean that he’ll put himself in harm’s way with some quick, risky throws. He’s also playing with a group of receivers that he doesn’t know all that well. That said, I’d be pretty surprised if Mayfield isn’t picked at least once here.

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Pick

While the Buccaneers are an Over team, the Chiefs are 3-4 to the Under this season. Kansas City also tends to play games on its own terms. That said, if I had to take anything, I’d be going with the Under in this game. However, I’ll personally be sitting this one out. Tampa Bay’s injuries have taken some of the excitement out of this Monday night showdown.

Lean: Under 45.5 (-106)

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