The Black Friday Game for the 2024 NFL season features the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Las Vegas Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium. We’ll be diving into all of the big standalone games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 13 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

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How To Watch Raiders vs. Chiefs

When: Friday, November 29th at 3:00 pm ET

Where: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri

Channel: Prime Video

Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Wednesday, November 27th. Look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Chiefs -700, Raiders +500

Spread: Chiefs -13 (-108), Raiders +13 (-112)

Total: Over 42.5 (-110), Under 42.5 (-110)

Raiders vs. Chiefs Analysis

This is going to be a difficult game to bet. If I had to take a traditional play, I’d probably lay the points with Kansas City. Not only are the Chiefs five spots higher than the Raiders when it comes to EPA per play allowed (0.011 vs. 0.048), but Kansas City is also eighth in the league in EPA per play (0.089). Las Vegas is last (-0.167). This Raiders team is miserable offensively, and that won’t be aided by the fact that Gardner Minshew is out.

A backup quarterback for an offense that lacks talent will struggle against a good defensive team — and that’s especially true against one that is coached by Steve Spagnuolo, who is relentless in sending pressure. However, I never really like to lay this many points in division games. Las Vegas is 3-1 against the spread when playing at Arrowhead Stadium since the 2020 season. That includes a straight-up win as an 11-point underdog in last year’s meeting between these teams. The Raiders also covered when these teams met on October 27th.

I also don’t feel particularly great about playing the Under in this one. That would have been the lean for me on the total. I just don’t think it’s crazy to expect a big offensive performance from Kansas City. This Raiders defense has some pass-rushers, but that’s really all it has. And Kansas City has scored at least 27 points in four of its last six games. So, imagine what Patrick Mahomes and Co. can do to this secondary. I can see them putting a huge dent in the total themselves, which is why I’m staying away.

My favorite play here might be the Under on the Raiders team total. I know Las Vegas scored 20 in a win over Kansas City the last time Aidan O’Connell faced the back-to-back Super Bowl champs. However, that was a game in which the Raiders scored two defensive touchdowns. O’Connell actually completed just nine of his 21 passes for 62 yards in the game, and the offense was largely anemic. So, I have a hard time believing Las Vegas will score 15 or more here.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Player Props

Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer (+115)

Noah Gray has scored four touchdowns over the last two weeks, which is something the Raiders are going to have to be prepared for. But I wonder if paying any extra attention to him will allow Kelce to cash in with a touchdown here. After all, he’s still Mahomes’ preferred target in the red zone.

Kelce also happened to eat against this Las Vegas team in October. He had 10 catches for 90 yards and a score there. And he has historically played very well against the Raiders, with most of that success largely coming in the receptions and receiving yards categories. But I do think there’s something to the recent play calling throwing opponents off his scent. I think we’ll see a few plays go his way in the red zone, including one of those misdirection tight end screens with the Mahomes shovel pass.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Pick

I’m not personally going to play anything here. I just don’t have much interest in this game. I’ll probably give it a shot for a half, but I’ll be quick to pivot if it stinks. That could mean taking advantage of Prime Video to watch Ricky Stanicky, I Want You Back or Snack Shack. However, as previously mentioned, I do have a lean on Las Vegas to score 14 or fewer points. I think it’s going to be difficult for the Raiders to move the ball in this game, especially with the Chiefs coming off a poor defensive performance against the Panthers. There was likely an animated film session after that one, so I’m thinking Kansas City’s defense will be ready to go here.

Lean: Raiders Team Total Under 14.5 (-102)

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