Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants
The Eagles (11-1) still have the NFL’s best record and the inside track to the NFC’s No. 1 seed/first-round bye with a one-game lead over the Vikings, plus the tiebreaker. However, the NFC East still isn’t secured as they only have a two-game lead over the Cowboys with a rematch coming up in Week 15. And this is the first of two games against the Giants (7-4-1).
The Eagles have the No. 3 offense and defense in yards gained and yards allowed per game, while the Giants’ offense is ranked No. 22 and the defense No. 23. Despite their lofty record, the Eagles were only 5-5 ATS before back-to-back covers in their 40-33 win against the Packers as 6.5-point home favorites and 35-10 rout of the Titans as 4.5-point home faves to improve to 7-5 ATS. But now they’re on the road, where they’re only 1-4 ATS.
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The Giants have been exceeding expectations all season and are 9-3 ATS (5-2 ATS at home) after covering as 2.5-point home underdogs in their 20-20 tie against the Commanders on Sunday.
This line has risen to Eagles -7, making the Giants a live home dog. NFL teams in that role are 40-29-4 ATS (58%), including 7-1 ATS when getting 7 points or more. The Over/Under looks pretty solid at 45.5. The Eagles are 8-4 with the Over while the Giants are 8-4 with the Under.
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