The dominant Connecticut Sun defense struck again last night, which allowed us to cash our Under bet in that game, but the Liberty decided to turn into a defensive turnstile and allow almost 100 points to the Mercury, so we split our WNBA best bets on the night. Tonight features three intriguing matchups of varying degrees, with the Mystics taking on Caitlin Clark and the Fever, the Lynx playing the Dream and the Aces hosting the Storm.
WNBA Betting Splits | Parlay Calculator
Now, let’s get to tonight’s WNBA best bets.
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics
These bottom-dwelling teams have been much improved lately, with both teams having a higher power rating of their last five games than they do for the season as a whole. The Fever are five-point home favorites with an Over/Under of 166, but TSI actually favors the road Mystics by 1.5 with a projected total of 167. I mentioned these teams’ last five game ratings, and those numbers would favor the Mystics by five with a total of 173.
WNBA Best Bet: Mystics +5 (Play to +3)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream
Minnesota failed to cover a big spread against Dallas this week, but they remain atop the TSI ratings no matter how you slice the numbers. Atlanta, meanwhile, is among the most inconsistent teams in the W, and is on a 2.7-point downward trend with its power rating over the last five games. The Lynx are nine-point favorites at home with an Over/Under of 162, while TSI projects Minnesota -14.5 with a total of 153.5.
WNBA Best Bet: Under 162 (Play to 161)
Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm
Aces star guard Chelsea Gray, the best passer in the league, is expected to return tonight. Last season, I would’ve made her worth about 5.5 points to the spread, and the Aces have been without her all season. I expect their tide to turn back to championship form sooner than later; however, despite being six-point home favorites with an Over/Under of 171, TSI favors Seattle by 1.5 (Aces by 4 with a fully healthy Gray) with a total of 168. Admittedly, I bet the Storm +5.5 before I found out Gray was returning, and at this point, I think I’d just pass altogether until I get some more data on the full-strength Aces.
WNBA Best Bet: Stay away
For all of my prop bets and live plays, be sure to follow me on X @TShoeIndex and turn your notifications on to get the real time updates from me on all things WNBA.
