Today the weekend begins with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Saturday’s MLB action…
4:07 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies (-175, 9) at Oakland Athletics
The Phillies (36-34) won Friday night’s Interleague series opener 6-1, cashing as -140 road favorites. In this late afternoon rematch, Philadelphia starts lefty Cristopher Sanchez (0-0, 6.23 ERA) and the Athletics (19-53) tap righty James Kaprielian (2-6, 6.89 ERA). This line opened with the Phillies listed as low as a -145 road favorite and Oakland a +130 home dog. Sharps have gotten down hard on Philadelphia, steaming the Phillies up from -145 to -175. Philadelphia is receiving 84% of bets and 91% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Interleague road favorites are 66-34 (66%) this season, producing a 13% ROI. Interleague road favorites off a win are 42-15 (74%), producing a 24% ROI. The Phillies have the better bats, hitting .260 compared to .223 for the Athletics, and the better pitching staff, sporting a team ERA of 4.39 compared to 6.19 for Oakland. Philadelphia is 24-17 as a favorite. Oakland is just 4-15 against lefties, 19-52 as a dog and 9-27 at home. The red-hot Phillies are 11-2 over their last 13 games. The total is 9 with the over juiced to -115, signaling some liability on a higher scoring game. The over is receiving 53% of bets but 85% of money, a notable sharp bet discrepancy. The forecast calls for low 70s with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right center.
7:15 p.m. ET: New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (-130, 9)
The Red Sox (35-35) cruised to a 15-5 win in last night’s series opener, taking care of business as -125 home favorites. In tonight’s rematch, the Yankees (39-31) turn to righty Clarke Schmidt (2-6, 4.70 ERA) and the Red Sox counter with fellow righty Brayan Bello (3-4, 3.78 ERA). This line opened with Boston listed as a -120 home favorite and New York a +110 road dog. The public is grabbing the Yankees as a popular plus money dog. However, despite 55% of bets taking New York, we’ve actually seen this line move further to Boston -120 to -130. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the Red Sox, with pros fading the trendy dog Yankees and instead laying the short chalk with contrarian favorite Boston. Home favorites off a blowout win of 10 runs or more are 11-5 (59%) this season, producing a 6% ROI. Home favorites off a win receiving 5-cents of steam or more are 113-55 (67%), producing a 9% ROI. The Red Sox hold a big edge offensively, hitting .262 compared to .233 for the Yankees. Bello went 7 innings and gave up just two runs in a 3-2 win over the Yankees a week ago. New York is 1-5 in Schmidt’s last six starts. Schmidt has a 5.48 ERA on the road. The total is 9 with the over juiced to -115, signaling some over liability. The over is receiving 59% of bets but 70% of money, a sharp bet split. The over is 23-13 (63%) at Fenway Park, third best over stadium in baseball.
