New York Giants 2024 Predictions and Odds:

After going 9-7-1 and winning a playoff game in Brian Daboll’s first year at the helm, the Giants went 6-11 last season. A lot of that had to do with what happened at the quarterback position. Daniel Jones earned himself a big contract after throwing for 3,205 yards with 15 touchdowns and only five picks in 2023. But last season, Jones threw for 909 yards with two touchdowns and six picks in six games and then tore his ACL. 

If Jones struggles or goes down again, the Giants will be a little more prepared this season. The team brought in the serviceable Drew Lock as a backup. But this team will need more than just serviceable to make it back to the postseason. So, Jones will need to be healthy and ready to build on what he did two years ago. The defense is ready to go, so the offense will make or break the season. 

 

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Offense

New York didn’t bring in any big free agents to address an offense that was 30th in the NFL in DVOA last year. In fact, the Giants allowed Saquon Barkley to sign with Philadelphia. New York is replacing Barkley with Devin Singletary, who is a solid backfield option. And the good news is that improved offensive line play could make up for the drop in talent at running back, and New York’s play in the trenches should be better. 

The Giants also did some decent work to upgrade the receiving corps. Sure, Darren Waller is gone, but he barely played. And New York brought in a very talented wideout in Malik Nabers, who they took with the sixth overall pick. Nabers has big play ability and should lead the team in targets. 

As previously mentioned, the overall strength of this group will come down to the play of Jones. The 27-year-old was driving his coaching staff nuts before last season’s injury. If he can play a little more like he did in 2022, New York will exceed expectations. 

Defense

The Giants were just 21st in the league in Defensive DVOA last season, and they were also just 22nd in EPA per play allowed. However, the offense didn’t do the defense any favors, forcing the group to play a lot of football. New York also made a noteworthy addition in trading for Panthers star Brian Burns. 

Burns will make for an elite pass-rushing duo with Kayvon Thibodeaux, and New York also has Dexter Lawrence wreaking havoc along the line. He was a monster against the run and did a lot of damage as a pass rusher last year. On top of that, Bobby Okereke is a flat-out stud at linebacker, and corner Deonte Banks, a 2023 first-round pick, had some nice flashes last year. 

If new defensive coordinator Shane Bowen can prevent this group from getting torched in the passing game, there’s something there with this group. A more conservative defense — as opposed to Wink Martindale’s blitz-heavy approach — should do wonders. 

Outlook

If Daniel Jones is out there in Week 1, I find it hard to believe the Giants won’t win at least seven games. The fact that it’s available at plus-money odds is just gravy. Looking through New York’s schedule, it isn’t hard to pick out some winnable games. And the Giants should sneak away with an extra road win or two. On paper, this looks more like an 8-9 team than a 6-11 team. I’m high on the defense, making this an actual play for me.

New York Giants Pick: Over 6.5 Wins

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