The Monday Night Football matchup in Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season features the Los Angeles Chargers hosting the Baltimore Ravens at SoFi Stadium. We’ll be diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 12 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!

 

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How To Watch Ravens vs. Chargers

When: Monday, November 25th at 8:15 pm ET

Where: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California

Channel: ABC/ESPN/ESPN+

Ravens vs. Chargers Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Sunday, November 24th. Look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Ravens -142, Chargers +120

Spread: Ravens -2.5 (-115), Chargers +2.5 (-105)

Total: Over 50.5 (-110), Under 50.5 (-110)

Ravens vs. Chargers Analysis

Last week’s win over the Bengals wasn’t enough for the Chargers to win people over. Our DraftKings betting splits show a significant amount of public support for the Ravens. There’s also some reverse line movement here, as Baltimore opened as a 3-point favorite and is down to -2.5. That suggests sharp action on Los Angeles. The Circa betting splits show more of the same.

I jumped on the sharper side with Los Angeles over Cincinnati last week, and I was happy that play got home. However, the Bengals really looked like a much better football team after an extremely slow start, and the Chargers offense slowed down in a big way in the second half. I’m not overreacting to that game too much in the grand scheme of things — I still really like Los Angeles — but it was enough to make me jump on the Baltimore side in this one. That’s right, I’m rolling with the public!

While Baltimore is 21st in the league in EPA per play allowed (0.039) this year, the team is eighth in the league in EPA per play allowed (-0.066) over the last three weeks. Slowly but surely, the Ravens are starting to find their way on the defensive side of the ball. And it really felt like it was only a matter of time. Baltimore is always an elite team defensively, and there’s a decent amount of talent scattered throughout this unit. And the reality is that Los Angeles isn’t great offensively, despite having Justin Herbert at quarterback. If the Ravens can just keep Ladd McConkey from breaking free at every level of the defense, they should be just fine. But that is what happened last week, so Baltimore needs to make sure he’s accounted for whenever Herbert drops back.

The Ravens will also feel good about moving the ball against the Chargers, even though Los Angeles is fourth in the league in EPA per play allowed (-0.101) this season. And that’s because Baltimore should feel good about moving the ball against anyone. The Ravens offense has cooled down a little in recent weeks, but they’re first in the league in EPA per play (0.188), and they’re Top 5 when it comes to both Rush (0.025) and Dropback (0.025) EPA per play. So, if Los Angeles overcommits to either the run or the pass, Baltimore will be able to make some adjustments and score some points. But realistically, there’s no reason Lamar Jackson can’t shred this secondary through the air. We just watched Joe Burrow do exactly that.

Baltimore is also 24-12 straight-up when coming off a loss to a division rival under John Harbaugh, and the team is also 25-13 SU when coming off a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse under him. On top of that, the Ravens are 41-19 off a road loss under the older brother in this Harbaugh vs. Harbaugh battle. Meanwhile, Jim Harbaugh is 1-2 SU as a home underdog as an NFL coach.

Ravens vs. Chargers Player Props

Lamar Jackson Longest Rush Over 14.5 Yards (-113)

Jackson has had a run of at least 16 yards in nine of the 11 games he has played this season. He regularly breaks off big runs, so I’m not sure why this total is so low. According to ESPN, Los Angeles is just 24th in the NFL in Pass Rush Win Rate (38.0%), so it’s not like the Chargers have been consistently putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks. And if Jackson is sitting in the pocket comfortably, there will be a few plays in which the coverage will be so good that he’ll have to take off. If that happens, there could be a good amount of green in front of him. And even if Joey Bosa and the Chargers do get more pressure on Jackson, he will inevitably have a play or two in which he’ll get away from it and take off. That said, I’m expecting a pretty big day on the ground.

Ravens vs. Chargers Pick

Baltimore’s defense is starting to figure things out, and the team now faces an opponent that isn’t all that explosive on offense. That sets the Ravens up rather nicely, as they possess the most explosive offense in football. This could also end up feeling like a home game for Baltimore, as Los Angeles has a somewhat weak home-field advantage and the Ravens flock travels extremely well. Considering all of that, give me Baltimore as my final Week 12 NFL best bet. Let’s just hope the lights stay on the whole game in this edition of Harbaugh vs. Harbaugh.

Bet: Ravens ML (-142)

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