Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Sunday June 25

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Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits

 

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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday’s MLB slate…

 

10:10 a.m. ET: Chicago Cubs (-165, 11.5) vs St. Louis Cardinals

This is the second and final game of the MLB World Tour Series played across the pond in London, England. The Cubs (37-38) won Saturday’s series opener 9-1, cruising as -130 neutral site favorites. In today’s early morning rematch, the Cubs hand the ball to righty Marcus Stroman (9-4, 2.28 ERA) and the Cardinals (31-45) counter with lefty Matthew Liberatore (1-2, 6.12 ERA). This line opened with Chicago listed as a -135 neutral site favorite and St. Louis a +120 dog. Pros have gotten down hard on the Cubs to complete the two-game sweep, steaming Chicago up from -135 to -165. The Cubs are receiving 79% of bets and 93% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both public and sharp support. Both teams are hitting .249. The difference comes on the mound, with the Cubs sporting a 3.91 team ERA compared to 4.48 for the Cardinals. Chicago is 22-13 as a favorite and 13-9 against lefties (compared to 24-29 against righties). St. Louis is 12-17 as a dog and 23-34 against righties. The Cubs are 11-2 over their last 13 games. The Cardinals are 6-13 over their last 19 games. Chicago is 7-0 in Stroman’s last seven starts. Stroman has a 1.40 ERA in four June starts. Liberatore has a 7.07 ERA in three June starts. 

 

3:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (-150, 13) at Colorado Rockies

This is the rubber match of a three-game Interleague series. The Rockies (30-49) won the opener 7-4, cashing as +130 home dogs. Then the Angels (42-36) bounced back with a massive 25-1 blowout win yesterday, taking care of business as -150 road favorites. In this afternoon’s series finale, Los Angeles starts lefty Tyler Anderson (4-1, 5.64 ERA) and the Rockies send out fellow southpaw Austin Gomber (4-7, 7.25 ERA). This line opened with the Angels listed as a -140 road favorite and the Rockies a +125 road dog. Pros are laying the chalk with the Angels off a huge blowout win, steaming Los Angeles up from -140 to -150. The Angels are receiving 88% of bets and 97% of money, indicating lopsided Pro and Joe support. Road Interleague favorites are 72-37 (66%) this season, producing a 13% ROI. Los Angeles has the better bats (hitting .259 vs .256) and superior pitching (team ERA 4.12 vs 5.69). The Angels also have a much fresher bullpen, tossing 8 innings over the last 3 games compared to 16.1 innings for the Rockies. Colorado is just 4-15 over their last 19 games. Los Angeles is 12-6 over their last 18 games. The Angels are 7-1 in Anderson’s last eight starts. Gomber has an ERA of 9.40 at home this season. Pros also hit the over, raising the total from 12.5 to 13. The over is receiving 37% of bets but 54% of money, a sharp contrarian bet discrepancy.