Best Bets on Today’s MLB Player Props Market
The 2023 MLB season is underway and VSiN has you covered with every way you can possibly bet on a baseball game. As always, Adam Burke will have daily best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, run lines and totals. However, I’m tackling player props here, and I’m targeting Jeremy Pena, Carlos Rodon and Kyle Hendricks on Wednesday, July 19th. Keep reading to find out how I’m betting on all of them.
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MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on July 19
Here are our favorite MLB prop bets for Wednesday, July 19th:
Houston Astros (-150, 12) at Colorado Rockies
This season has not gone to plan for Jeremy Pena, who is batting just .239 with 10 homers and 33 RBIS on the year. Pena has, however, hit lefties pretty hard in his limited at-bats against them, as he’s batting .294 with three homers, five doubles and seven RBIs against southpaws. And today, Pena gets a crack at a mediocre lefty in Austin Gomber, and he gest to do it in Coors Field.
Gomber is a guy I have faded rather often when he’s starting at home, as he has a 7.32 ERA at Coors Field this season. It’s hard to envision him lowering that number much today, as this game has a ridiculous total of 12. With this game expected to be such a high-scoring affair, it just makes sense to play Pena to come through with an RBI in a plus matchup. You’ll get a much better price taking a chance on this than you will backing the Over on his total bases.
Bet: Pena Over 0.5 RBIs (+123)
New York Yankees (-140, 8.5) at Los Angeles Angels
Carlos Rodon is just 0-2 with a 5.23 ERA through two starts this season, and the lefty doesn’t exactly get a great matchup tonight. The Angels have the fifth-highest wRC+ in MLB against lefties this season, and they have also scored at least five runs in five of their last six games. Even with Mike Trout out with an injury, Los Angeles’ lineup can be dangerous. With that in mind, I like taking the plus-money odds on Rodon to give up at least five hits.
At some point, Rodon should figure things out and start to look like the high-level starter he is. But until we see that, it doesn’t hurt fading him a little, especially in a matchup like this one. Rodon should also be able to pitch a little longer in this game, as he threw 88 pitches on July 14th. The longer he’s in, the better it is for a play like this one.
Bet: Rodon Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+105)
Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs (-155, 9.5)
Kyle Hendricks has gotten beat up a bit in his last two outings, as he has allowed nine earned runs over his last two starts. However, the righty has recorded at least four strikeouts in four consecutive trips to the mound, and he has also done so in six of his 10 starts this season. With that said, the fact that you’re getting even-money odds on Hendricks to go Over 3.5 strikeouts feels like great value.
Hendricks isn’t the type of guy to go out and miss a lot of bats, so this isn’t a start you’re necessarily going to cruise to a win in. He’ll have to grind in order to strike out four batters, but I do see him ultimately getting the job done. He’s also due for some better outings at Wrigley Field, as he has struggled there this season and has generally been a good pitcher at home throughout his career.
Bet: Hendricks Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+100)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +814 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
